Decision Analysis Across Domains: Case Studies in Wild-life and Human Health

Séminaire CEFE
Vendredi 8 novembre 2024 – 13h30
Grande salle de réunion du CEFE | 1919 route de Mende

Decision Analysis Across Domains: Case Studies in Wild-life and Human Health

Angela K. Fuller
Leader, USGS New York Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit and Professor, Department of Natural Resources and the Environment, Cornell University
angela.fuller@cornell.edu

Effective conservation and management of wildlife populations presents complex decision-making challenges due to conflicting ecological, economic, and social objectives, often com-pounded by uncertainty. Decision analysis, particularly structured decision making (SDM), pro-vides a transparent, rigorous framework to address these challenges by integrating stakeholder values and predictive modeling. In this talk, I will present four case studies demonstrating the utility of SDM in diverse decision-making contexts. The first involves white-tailed deer buck har-vest regulations, balancing hunter preferences with population management objectives. The second focuses on setting duck hunting season dates using survey-based stakeholder input and spatiotemporal modeling of waterfowl abundance. The third, a work in progress, evaluates strat-egies for managing moose populations affected by wildlife disease, exploring the interaction among disease uncertainty, harvest, and population viability. Lastly, I will highlight how SDM was applied in a non-ecological context to guide optimal surgical decisions for women with early-stage breast cancer, incorporating tradeoffs between oncologic and quality of life outcomes. These examples demonstrate how decision science can enhance decision-making across diverse domains by clarifying objectives, incorporating uncertainty, and addressing competing stake-holder values.

(Seminar in English, with questions & answers in English)

Contact au CEFE : Olivier Gimenez olivier.gimenez@cefe.cnrs.fr